B.C. Conservatives hold 5-point lead over NDP with two days until provincial election

British Columbia voters will head to the polls Saturday with the B.C. Conservatives holding a 5-point lead over the NDP, according to Leger Research polling conducted Oct. 20-22.

The Conservatives stand at 44 per cent support among decided voters, the NDP at 39 per cent, and the Greens at 13 per cent. Six per cent remain undecided. The gap has widened since an earlier October poll showed the Conservative-NDP margin at just 2 points.

Green Party support has rebounded to 13 per cent, up 4 points from an Oct. 9-12 survey and returned to September levels. Undecided voters have shrunk from 12 per cent in the previous October poll to 6 per cent.

Since September, Conservative support has jumped 5 points while the NDP has gained 3 points. The race breaks down sharply by gender: Conservatives lead men by 12 points, while women give the NDP a 2-point edge. Among voters aged 35-54, Conservatives lead the NDP by 14 points. The two parties are closely matched among voters aged 18-34 and those 55 and older. Green support is strongest among younger voters aged 18-34, at 20 per cent.

Regionally, Metro Vancouver shows Conservatives at 44 per cent and NDP at 40 per cent — a 4-point Conservative lead. On Vancouver Island, the parties are tied at 39 and 40 per cent respectively. Outside Metro Vancouver and the Island, Conservatives dominate with 46 per cent to the NDP's 36 per cent.

Leger's rolling average updated Thursday shows Conservative support at 44 per cent, NDP at 40 per cent and Greens at 13 per cent across all recent surveys.